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Grandfather Economic Energy Report
- Table of Contents -
- Energy trends: consumption, production, imports, reserves -

by Michael Hodges (USA) and Jean Laherrère (France)
energy.htm - - update Mar. 2009
- a chapter of the Grandfather Economic Reports -

How much energy do we have left?Report Contents List
Graphic Index
Link Index
About Authors


Starter Page - Energy Report Home page - - with its short summary and summary graphic

1. Energy Report page 1 - U.S. Section
1.1 U.S. summary consumption vs. production vs. imports
1.2 Oil Production - USA
1.3 Natural Gas Production vs. Imports - USA
1.4 Reserves Oil & Natural Gas - USA
1.5 Production Model - Hubbert
1.6 Production Projected via Discovery
1.7 Imports Oil -USA
1.8 Inventory Oil - USA
1.9 Import Deficit all Goods - USA
and, Energy efficiency, Electricity generation (coal, nuclear, etc.) and coal production
Author Comment on USA

2. Energy Report page 2 - World Section
2.1 World Oil Reserves - - technical data vs. other sources
2.2 Oil Reserves Persian Gulf vs. All Other Producers - - technical data vs. other sources
2.3 World Oil Production - - - - actual and projected
2.4 Technical Data vs. 'Political Data'
2.5 World Natural Gas Reserves & Consumption
2.6 Data Manipulation
2.7 Author Comments - general

3. Misc. - Energy Report page 3
3.1 Other statements
3.2 Concluding Comments & Actions
3.3 California's 30 year Opposition to Energy
3.4 Alaska Oil vs. the Caribou
3.5 Other articles

4.1 Links
4.2 Authors Michael Hodges & Jean Laherrère
4.3 credits Colin Campbell

Above are the contents of this Energy Report chapter of the Grandfather Economic Report series.


USA graphics:
Oil Summary - consumption vs production vs imports
Oil Production - lower 48 vs Alaska
Natural Gas Production, Consumption, Imports
Reserves - - Oil and Natural Gas
Hubbert model USA production
US Model Production Projection by Discovery shift
US Oil Imports
Oil Inventory USA
US Trade Deficit all goods
Electricity Generated by source
Coal Production USA
Nuclear Production US
Gas Taxes - US vs others

World Graphics:
World Oil Reserves - technical vs 'political' data
World Oil Reserves - - Persian Gulf vs others
World Oil Production - - actual vs projected
World Natural Gas Reserves
World Natural Gas Consumption

LINKS to other information
from this Energy Report

1 - Jean Laherrère - - retired French geologist and researcher regarding the future of oil and gas production
2 - The End of Cheap Oil - - by Colin J. Campbell and Jean H. Laherrère, Scientific American, March 1998
3 - Dr Campbell has published extensively, evaluating the resource base and its depletion
4 - Energy Secretary Spencer Abraham - shortages and crisis, AP wire service, 3/19/01
5 - Government Energy Information Administration - - U.S. Dept. of Energy, EIA
6 - The Coming Global Oil Crisis - good site by Ronald B. Swenson
7 - America's Risky Energy Dependency - D. Mark Wilson and Angela Anotenelli - Sept. 2000
8 - How to Reduce Oil-Import Dependence, July 2000, by John Holdren, Harvard University
9 - The Myth of Spare Capacity by Dr. Colin Campbell, from the Oil and Gas Journal, March 20, 2000
10-Measures of Oil Import Dependence, 1998, by James M. Kendell.
11-We must change our oil-use habits
by Eugene Marner, Nov. 2000
12-Net Energy by Dr. Cutler Cleveland
13-Alternatives - wind, solar, etc.
- Apollo II, EcoSystems
14-Nuclear rebirth possible?
- By Patrice Hill , the Washington Times, 3/19/01
15-Global warming claim demolished ? - by Dr Aaron Oakley, Australia, 9 April 2001
16-EIA data and Oil Market Basics by DOE
17-World Oil Reserves, including Persian Gulf vs. others - - a Part of this Energy Report, page 2
18-'Political Data' vs. Technical Data, and financial - - a Part of this Energy Report, page 2
19-California's 30 years of Opposition to Energy - - a Part of this Energy Report, page 3
20-Alaska - drilling vs. caribou - - a Part of this Energy Report, page 3
21-Energy Synopsis - Jan Hanson
22-The Peak of World Oil Production & the Road to the Olduavi Gorge - Richard C. Duncan, Ph.D.
23-Welcome to the Energy Crisis - - in verse form by Harry Gorman.
24-Peak Oil - - a very well-done video presentation by Dr. Colin Campbell - - presented in Germany 12/2000
25-U.S. Crude Oil Inventories - - record lows and trending down - chart from
26-energy data sources - - - -
27-President Bush energy council plan - May 2001 (large 2.5mb PDF file)
28-2001 Study of World Reserves by Jean Laherrère - paper at IIASA International energy workshop June 19-21, 2001
29-The Next Natural Gas Crisis - Canada - production peak - Andrew Nikiforuk, Canadian Business, 8/20/01
30-Powershift - Oil, Money and War - Jim Publava, March 2002
31-Energy Data - run search at
32-The Secret Lives of Energy - an educational site for students. (their 'Oil Crisis' page)
33-Modelling Future Liquids Production - by Jean H. Laherrère, at 'International Workshop on Depletion' - Uppsala, Sweden - May 2002
34-War, Money and Oil - David Chapman
35-Oil Production Life Cycle - Peak Years - 42 nations - - also, curves on this - by Richard Duncan & Walter Younguist Oct. 1998
36-Iraq Oil and. USA - March 2003 - Dale A. Pfeiffer - discussion with maps
37-GeoPolitical - US and Middle East - a persective by Robt. Dreyfuss, March 3003
Shell's reserves decline and SEC obsolete rules -to help understand political data vs. techinical data - - by Jean Laherrère, Feb. 2004
39-Coal News and Markets - DOE - weekly reports on US coal production, prices and inventories
40-Coal, Electric, Nuclear, Renewables and Alternate Fuels - DOE Information System
41-List of Documents (in English) on Energy - from the Environmentalists for Nuclear Energy site, Bruno Comby, President of EFN
42-America stymied as governments bid to control oil - We are witnessing the geopoliticalisation of the world’s oil and gas industry. Governments rather than traditional commercial enterprises are taking control. And those governments have interests hostile to America’s. - by Irwin Stelzer, Hudson Institute 30 Jan. 2005
43-Life after the Oil Crash - by Matt Savinar - March 2005 - email > matt @
44-Twilight in the Desert: The coming Saudi oil shock and world economy - by Mathew R. Simmons - August 6, 2005
45-Oil Pipe Lines in Central Asia - and strategic players - by F. William Engdahl for the Asia Times 21 Dec. 2005
46-Energy - the consequences of supply disruption - - Milton R. Copulos, president Nat. Defense Council, before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee - - March 2006
47-Economic Energy Report - USA and World - Michael Hodges (USA) and Jean Laherrère (FRANCE)

The Authors - - Acknowledgement - - Technical Note

The authors of the Grandfather Economic Energy Report, a chapter of the Grandfather Economic Report, are Michael Hodges (USA) and Jean Laherrère (FRANCE)

Jean Laherrère (, a retired French oil and gas explorer and geologist-geophysicist, has published extensively regarding international energy resource and depletion research.
Michael Hodges ( email), a retired business executive and physicist, has developed extensive research regarding American long term economic trends as author of the Grandfather Economic Report - - .
- - a series of picture reports showing potential threats to the economic future of families and their children, compared to prior generations - - from incomes to debt to education quality to health care to international trade to government. It's a free, public service to enhance knowledge. You are now at the brief chapter on Energy supply, a threat facing our young generation. We hope your visit will find useful information. Knowledge is Power.

Birth of this Energy Report chapter - - Readers of the Grandfather Economic Report series requested its author add a chapter regarding U.S. energy consumption vs. production vs. reserves, including historic trends - - commenting on implications compared to the past.

Jean Laherrère, having discovered the Grandfather Economic Report series, wrote Michael Hodges - -
"dear Michael. I want to congratulate you for your site and the numerous papers in the Grandfather Economic Reports, and I found your papers with many graphs. I will use some in my talks. I am a retired oil geologist. I am concerned about the future of my grand children and I write papers on the future of oil and gas production - - such as with Colin Campbell in Scientific American March 1998 'The end of cheap oil.' If you need any information on oil and gas, do not hesitate." Jean. - Web Site about Jean - - also link #1 above.

Pleased to take Jean up on his offer, I informed him of my plan to create this chapter on U.S. energy trends, and asked him to submit suggested data. Jean obliged by sending many data graphics together with data from other sources. I am impressed with his depth of knowledge, willingness to share data and graphics, and encouragement for this project. Because of Jean's significanat contribution, he has been designated a co-author of this Grandfather Economic Energy Report.

Surely this exchange between Hodges and Laherrère is further proof of the power and reach of the internet to help bring people and knowledge together - - two grandfathers from different nations, by-passing oceans and other barriers in common pursuit to pass on knowledge that might assist young generations.

Technical Note - - Jean Laherrère wishes to point out that some people confuse the word 'crude oil' and the word 'liquids'. Several of our charts clearly state they are for crude oil production - - actual and projected - - not for various liquids. "When the demand is given for liquids such includes crude oil, condensate (produced at the wellhead in a separator), natural gas liquids (produced in a gas plant), refinery gains, withdrawal and other fuels - - liquids in 2000 was 76 Mb/d, whereas crude oil for that year was 67 Mb/d.
I work on crude oil as it is in line with the data on reserves when I cannot handle the total liquids which depends on many things. It is confusing but it is important to know the two figures and their difference. Furthermore in the crude oil I work mainly on conventional oil as the unconventional is more difficult to get reliable reserves data."

Note - - some graphics refer to barrels per day or per annum: a barrel of liquid petroleum product (raw or refined, but excluding gasses) is equal to 42 U.S. gallons or 158.97 liters, on a standard day.

For an out-side review, Dr. Colin J. Campbell (links 2, 3, 9) evaluated this Energy Report, offered constructive inputs and said, 'it's an excellent presentation. CONGRATULATIONS - - IT IS SPLENDID THAT YOU SHOULD DO THIS'. - 'your website is important', Colin. Dr. Campbell, Oxford, is a retired geologist who has published extensively evaluating energy resource and depletion. Among other areas, he previously worked for the oil industry world wide, including as an executive vice president in Norway. He now lives in western Ireland. (Dr. Campbell has a very informative video presentation, called Peak Oil - - presented December 2000 in Germany at the Technische Universität Clausthal - Institut for Geology and Paleontology).

VISIT THE HOME PAGE OF THE GRANDFATHER ECONOMIC REPORT, to learn about other major trends facing families and children compared to prior periods - -
- - via graphic presentations on: family income, debt-dependence, savings, government spending and size, trust funds, education quality, social security, regulations, taxes, inflation, productivity, foreign trade and exchange, voter turnout, trust, celebration, national security, energy, and health care/life expectancy. KNOWLEDGE IS POWER - - IF YOU SEEK IT.

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Copyright © 1997-2011. Michael W. Hodges. The Grandfather Economic Report series is the intellectual property of its author; all rights reserved under Copyright Conventions. Permission to redistribute all or part of this series for non commercial purposes is granted by the author, provided the associated web page address (URL) is included and full credit given to the Grandfather Economic Report and the author, Michael Hodges. Notice appreciated via email.